Sport : Horse Racing

KING OF THE STATISTICS

11th May 2012, 05:20pm

King Of Jazz: Can benefit from patient tactics

King Of Jazz: Can benefit from patient tactics

  • Winners have been aged four (6), five (3) and six.

  • Winners have carried between 8-5 and 9-7 with eight between 8-5 and 8-13.
  • Winners have been rated between 83 and 99 with seven between 92 and 99 and six between 92 and 96.
  • Four winners were drawn between 1 & 9 and five between 13 & 21.**
  • Winners were priced between 11-4 and 33-1 with five in single figures and five 14-1+.
  • Three favourites (incl one joint) have won with a further three placed.
  • Eight winners attracted the in-running comment 'held-up' or 'mid-division'.
  • Only one winner was successful on his seasonal reappearance.
  • Of the remainder, five had been placed on their preceding start, including two winners.
  • Eight winners had either won or been placed in a class 2 handicap.
  • Six winners were having their first run at the track.**
  • Five winners had either won or been placed on a polytrack surface, the other four were unraced on such a surface.**
  • Five winners had had between four and 12 career starts with the other five between 21 and 28.

    **The 2005 renewal was run at Lingfield and the running was subsequently ignored for these criteria

    Summary

    Since being relaid there is a fairly widely held view that the straight course is the epitome of a horses for courses track and one that suits horses that are effective on polytrack. So the fact that five of the last six winners were making their first start at Ascot may neither be here nor there; two of those five were unraced on polytrack but two of the other three had won on a synthetic surface and the other placed.

    Far more tangible statistics are those relating to age and ratings with six winners emerging from the 5lb range between 92 and 96 which encompasses a third of the field and four and five year olds providing nine of the last 10 winners.

    Several of the four and five year olds meet a number of the criteria but the nod goes to King Of Jazz who is only 1lb outside the optimum weights/ratings criteria. He could only finish in midfield over C&D last September when ridden prominently but appeared to benefit from more patient tactics at Doncaster when making the frame in a class 2 handicap and he may be able to become the third recent winner with only a maiden success to their name.

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