Sport : Horse Racing

CROWLEY CAN CLAIM CUP GLORY

18th May 2012, 05:11pm

Ed Dunlop: Can lift the London Gold Cup

Ed Dunlop: Can lift the London Gold Cup

  • Winners have been rated between 78 and 95 with seven between 82 and 90.

  • Winners have carried between 8-7 and 9-4 with eight between 8-10 and 9-4.
  • Winners have been priced between 6-4 and 20-1 with six between 6-4 and 5-1.
  • Two favourites (incl one co-fav) have been successful with a further three (incl two co-favs) placed while one was withdrawn.
  • Only two winners were scoring on their seasonal reappearance.
  • Nine winners had finished no worse than fourth on their preceding start, five were successful.
  • Five winners were having their first run in a handicap, a further two were making their second handicap start and another two their third.
  • Of those to have run in handicaps, their finishing positions were 1, 3, 1, 3, 3, 2, 4, 3, 4, 1, 4.
  • Winners had raced between three and five times in their career.
  • All of the last 10 winners had won a race, only three winners had won more than once.
  • None of the last 10 winners had scored on their racecourse bow.

    Summary

    A good turnout for this heritage handicap that has a rich history of throwing up future Pattern class performers although with the top-rated runner lining up from a mark of just 89 this contest lacks the quality of many recent renewals although that's not to say that they won't prove their equals in time.

    It may just be an anomaly but none of the last 10 winners have made a winning debut and applying that strong statistic along with excluding those that haven't raced at least three times or finished in the first four last time out significantly reduces the number of runners to consider.

    Rewarded, Expense Claim and Almuftarris comprise the short-list with any easing of conditions expected to favour James Toller's charge who should appreciate the step up in trip but the nod goes to the last-named whose trainer won this race in 2009.

    His Smart Strike colt shaped well in a traditionally hot maiden on the July Course before chasing home Investec Derby fancy Main Sequence at Yarmouth and proved that he had trained on when winning his maiden at Lingfield.

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