BETTING BOX |
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FIXED ODDS |
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 | 1pt win Red Cadeaux in 14.40 Epsom at 12/1 (general). | Stamina could come into play and this more wide open than market suggests. |
| 1pt win Sohraab in 15.15 Epsom at 15/1 (William Hill). | Likes it here, has a much better draw than last year and Morrison's horses going well. |
| 1pt win Swilly Ferry in 17.25 Epsom at 20/1 (general). | Has previous in this type of race, dropped to career-low mark, trained by a sprint king. |
Investec Derby day is all about Camelot this year and the bookies offer best odds of 4/6 that Aidan O'Brien continues his domination of the 2012 British Classics with this colt.
The classy son of Montjeu looks sure to improve over the trip, so, despite having yet to race further than a mile, the distance really shouldn't be an issue for the Ballydoyle star.
And as far as class goes, the 2000 Guineas winner has two Group One races under his belt while his eight rivals haven't mustered one between them.
So, despite his prohibitive odds, I just can't take him on and the value on Saturday's Epsom card lies elsewhere.
While Camelot looks rock solid, his stablemate St Nicholas Abbey is a far more dodgy odds-on proposition in the Diamond Jubilee Coronation Cup (14.40).
He won this race last year despite hating the track but this year's renewal looks a stronger one and he has been beaten five times in six starts since then.
At the prices I have to be against him and looking at the market RED CADEAUX might've been underestimated by the layers at 12s.
Ed Dunlop's six-year-old is getting better with age and he's thrived since going over to Australia for the Melbourne Cup.
He finished second in that, third in the Hong Kong Vase and then won the Yorkshire Cup at the Dante Festival following his seasonal reappearance at Kempton.
There was lots to like about that performance, especially the way he travelled and I have no doubt he can handle the drop in trip now at this level.
I like the fact he stays further too as Robin Hood looks likely to ensure this is a decent test and there's every chance Red Cadeaux's proven stamina will help him in the latter stages.
Certainly, at 12/1, he looks a big price in a contest that is much more wide open than the market would have you believe.
The Investec Specialist Bank 'Dash' is wide open but I'm happy to have a stab with SOHRAAB at 15/1.
Hughie Morrison's horses are in good nick as was advertised by Shirocco Star in the Oaks and this fellow was fourth in this very contest last season from a terrible draw.
This time around he's got a plum slot in 19 and I'd expect him to come on plenty for his seasonal reappearance when he ran over the wrong trip on less than ideal ground.
He's 6lbs higher than his last winning mark but remains well handicapped on his very best form and you just can't beat course form at Epsom.
Back him at 15s.
Finally, it may be worth chancing SWILLY FERRY to bounce back from a series of poor performances in the closing Investec Out Of The Ordinary Handicap.
He's run four poor races on the spin but Dandy Nicholls has had him for just two runs, the ground was way too soft for him last time and he's now dropped to a career-low mark (fully a stone lower than his last winning one).
His strike-rate is poor but two of his wins have come in big-field sprint handicaps and from a cracking draw he can run a massive race at 20s.
